Profit Maximization over Social Networks

Influence maximization is the problem of finding a set of influential users in a social network such that the expected spread of influence under a certain propagation model is maximized. Much of the previous work has neglected the important distinction between social influence and actual product adoption. However, as recognized in the management science literature, an individual who gets influenced by social acquaintances may not necessarily adopt a product (or technology), due, e.g., to monetary concerns. In this work, we distinguish between influence and adoption by explicitly modeling the states of being influenced and of adopting a product. We extend the classical Linear Threshold (LT) model to incorporate prices and valuations, and factor them into users' decision-making process of adopting a product. We show that the expected profit function under our proposed model maintains submodularity under certain conditions, but no longer exhibits monotonicity, unlike the expected influence spread function. To maximize the expected profit under our extended LT model, we employ an unbudgeted greedy framework to propose three profit maximization algorithms. The results of our detailed experimental study on three real-world datasets demonstrate that of the three algorithms, PAGE, which assigns prices dynamically based on the profit potential of each candidate seed, has the best performance both in the expected profit achieved and in running time.

[1]  Andreas Krause,et al.  Cost-effective outbreak detection in networks , 2007, KDD '07.

[2]  Laks V. S. Lakshmanan,et al.  Maximizing product adoption in social networks , 2012, WSDM '12.

[3]  Matthew Richardson,et al.  Mining the network value of customers , 2001, KDD '01.

[4]  Teofilo F. Gonzalez,et al.  An Efficient Algorithm for the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Lilliefors Tests , 1977, TOMS.

[5]  Vahab Mirrokni,et al.  Maximizing Non-Monotone Submodular Functions , 2007, FOCS 2007.

[6]  Laks V. S. Lakshmanan,et al.  CELF++: optimizing the greedy algorithm for influence maximization in social networks , 2011, WWW.

[7]  Yoav Shoham,et al.  Multiagent Systems - Algorithmic, Game-Theoretic, and Logical Foundations , 2009 .

[8]  Francis Bloch,et al.  Pricing in networks , 2008 .

[9]  Kevin Leyton-Brown,et al.  Estimating Bidders ’ Valuation Distributions in Online Auctions , 2005 .

[10]  Rajeev Motwani,et al.  Pricing Strategies for Viral Marketing on Social Networks , 2009, WINE.

[11]  M. L. Fisher,et al.  An analysis of approximations for maximizing submodular set functions—I , 1978, Math. Program..

[12]  Wei Chen,et al.  Scalable influence maximization for prevalent viral marketing in large-scale social networks , 2010, KDD.

[13]  Vahab S. Mirrokni,et al.  Maximizing Non-Monotone Submodular Functions , 2011, 48th Annual IEEE Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS'07).

[14]  Curtis F. Gerald,et al.  APPLIED NUMERICAL ANALYSIS , 1972, The Mathematical Gazette.

[15]  Vahab S. Mirrokni,et al.  Optimal marketing strategies over social networks , 2008, WWW.

[16]  Laks V. S. Lakshmanan,et al.  Learning influence probabilities in social networks , 2010, WSDM '10.

[17]  Matthew Richardson,et al.  Mining knowledge-sharing sites for viral marketing , 2002, KDD.

[18]  S. Kalish A New Product Adoption Model with Price, Advertising, and Uncertainty , 1985 .

[19]  Laks V. S. Lakshmanan,et al.  SIMPATH: An Efficient Algorithm for Influence Maximization under the Linear Threshold Model , 2011, 2011 IEEE 11th International Conference on Data Mining.

[20]  Wei Chen,et al.  Optimal Pricing in Social Networks with Incomplete Information , 2010, WINE.

[21]  Frank Thomson Leighton,et al.  The value of knowing a demand curve: bounds on regret for online posted-price auctions , 2003, 44th Annual IEEE Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science, 2003. Proceedings..

[22]  Yifei Yuan,et al.  Scalable Influence Maximization in Social Networks under the Linear Threshold Model , 2010, 2010 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining.