Automatic estimation of the cross-spectrum of a bivariate time series

SUMMARY The penalised Whittle likelihood has recently been shown to have good properties in nonparametric estimation of spectral density functions. This paper extends the approach to the estimation of the cross-spectrum of a bivariate time series. One major difference from the univariate case is that the cross-spectrum estimate is not constrained to be positive, but must result in a positive definite spectral density matrix. An efficient computational method based on iterative reweighted least-squares is described, and an estimate of the integrated squared-error loss is derived and used as an objective criterion to allow automatic selection of the smoothing parameters. Numerical experiments indicate that the proposed estimate improves on the standard estimate based on kernel smoothing of the cross-periodograms. An analysis of respiration and heart rate time series is given as an illustrative example.

[1]  R. Tibshirani,et al.  Generalized additive models for medical research , 1986, Statistical methods in medical research.

[2]  M. A. Wincek Applied Statistical Time Series Analysis , 1990 .

[3]  N. R. Goodman Statistical analysis based on a certain multivariate complex Gaussian distribution , 1963 .

[4]  I. D. Hill,et al.  An Efficient and Portable Pseudo‐Random Number Generator , 1982 .

[5]  William H. Press,et al.  Numerical recipes , 1990 .

[6]  C. Chatfield,et al.  Fourier Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[7]  Clifford M. Hurvich,et al.  Data-Driven Choice of a Spectrum Estimate: Extending the Applicability of Cross-Validation Methods , 1985 .

[8]  V. A. Epanechnikov Non-Parametric Estimation of a Multivariate Probability Density , 1969 .

[9]  H. Müller Nonparametric regression analysis of longitudinal data , 1988 .

[10]  Jack Dongarra,et al.  LINPACK Users' Guide , 1987 .

[11]  Donald B. Percival,et al.  Spectral Analysis for Physical Applications , 1993 .

[12]  Glenn A. Myers,et al.  Power Spectral Analysis of Heart Rate Varability in Sudden Cardiac Death: Comparison to Other Methods , 1986, IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering.

[13]  Some advances in non‐parametric multiple time series and spectral analysis , 1994 .

[14]  Donald B. Percival,et al.  The effective bandwidth of a multitaper spectral estimator , 1995 .

[15]  F. O’Sullivan Discretized Laplacian Smoothing by Fourier Methods , 1991 .

[16]  R. Cohen,et al.  Power spectrum analysis of heart rate fluctuation: a quantitative probe of beat-to-beat cardiovascular control. , 1981, Science.

[17]  Yudi Pawitan,et al.  Nonparametric Spectral Density Estimation Using Penalized Whittle Likelihood , 1994 .

[18]  P. McCullagh,et al.  Generalized Linear Models , 1972, Predictive Analytics.

[19]  E. Hannan The asymptotic theory of linear time-series models , 1973, Journal of Applied Probability.