Tarzan and chain: exploring the ICO jungle and evaluating design archetypes

The phenomenon of a blockchain use case called initial coin offering (ICO) is drawing increasing attention as a novel funding mechanism. ICO is a crowdfunding type that utilizes blockchain tokens to allow for truly peer-to-peer investments. Although more than $7bn has been raised globally via ICOs as at 2018, the concept and its implications are not yet entirely understood. The research lags behind in providing in-depth analyses of ICO designs and their long-term success. We address this research gap by developing an ICO taxonomy, applying a cluster analysis to identify prevailing ICO archetypes, and providing an outlook on the token value market performance for individual archetypes. We identify five ICO design archetypes and display their secondary market development from both a short-term and a long-term perspective. We contribute to an in-depth understanding of ICOs and their implications. Further, we offer practitioners tangible design and success indications for future ICOs.

[1]  Aviv Zohar Bitcoin , 2015, Commun. ACM.

[2]  Christian Sillaber,et al.  Life Cycle of Smart Contracts in Blockchain Ecosystems , 2017, Datenschutz und Datensicherheit - DuD.

[3]  Michel Avital,et al.  Designing interviews to generate rich data for information systems research , 2011, Inf. Organ..

[4]  Rachel Cooper,et al.  Characterizing the Role of Design in New Product Development: An Empirically Derived Taxonomy* , 2005 .

[5]  Florian Glaser,et al.  Pervasive Decentralisation of Digital Infrastructures: A Framework for Blockchain enabled System and Use Case Analysis , 2017, HICSS.

[6]  Kenneth D. Bailey,et al.  A three-level measurement model , 1984 .

[7]  Christina Soh,et al.  Business-to-Business E-Marketplaces: A Strategic Archetypes Approach , 2002, ICIS.

[8]  Maximilian Röglinger,et al.  What's in a Smart Thing? Development of a Multi-layer Taxonomy , 2016, ICIS.

[9]  John P. Conley Blockchain and the Economics of Crypto-tokens and Initial Coin Offerings , 2017 .

[10]  Haydar Majeed Mahdey,et al.  'Don't bite off more than you can chew'. , 2015, Dental update.

[11]  Robert Keller,et al.  A Reference Model to Support Risk Identification in Cloud Networks , 2014, ICIS.

[12]  B. Everitt,et al.  Cluster Analysis: Everitt/Cluster Analysis , 2011 .

[13]  Robert K. Yin,et al.  Case Study Research and Applications: Design and Methods , 2017 .

[14]  Tao Li,et al.  The Wisdom of Crowds in FinTech: Evidence from Initial Coin Offerings , 2019, The Review of Corporate Finance Studies.

[15]  Cesare Pautasso,et al.  A Taxonomy of Blockchain-Based Systems for Architecture Design , 2017, 2017 IEEE International Conference on Software Architecture (ICSA).

[16]  G. W. Milligan,et al.  A Two-Stage Clustering Algorithm with Robust Recovery Characteristics , 1980 .

[17]  D. Cumming,et al.  Signaling in Equity Crowdfunding , 2012 .

[18]  Roman Beck,et al.  Blockchain to Rule the Waves - Nascent Design Principles for Reducing Risk and Uncertainty in Decentralized Environments , 2017, ICIS.

[19]  Nils Urbach,et al.  Unchaining Social Businesses - Blockchain as the Basic Technology of a Crowdlending Platform , 2017, ICIS.

[20]  L. Dexter Elite and specialized interviewing , 1971 .

[21]  Jan Muntermann,et al.  Taxonomy Development in Information Systems: A Literature Survey and Problem Statement , 2010, AMCIS.

[22]  Melissa Jacobs Don't slip! , 2012 .

[23]  David J. Ketchen,et al.  THE APPLICATION OF CLUSTER ANALYSIS IN STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT RESEARCH: AN ANALYSIS AND CRITIQUE , 1996 .

[24]  William Mann,et al.  Digital Tokens and Platform Building , 2018 .

[25]  Christian Fisch Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) to Finance New Ventures , 2018, Journal of Business Venturing.

[26]  J. Gans,et al.  Initial Coin Offerings and the Value of Crypto Tokens , 2018 .

[27]  Andrea Pinna,et al.  Blockchain-Oriented Software Engineering: Challenges and New Directions , 2017, 2017 IEEE/ACM 39th International Conference on Software Engineering Companion (ICSE-C).

[28]  Winston T. H. Koh Venture Capital Financing , 2004 .

[29]  Florian Glaser,et al.  Beyond Cryptocurrencies - A Taxonomy of Decentralized Consensus Systems , 2015, ECIS.

[30]  Jan Marco Leimeister,et al.  An Empirical Taxonomy of Crowdfunding Intermediaries , 2014, ICIS.

[31]  Nils Urbach,et al.  How to Implement Agile IT setups: a Taxonomy of Design options , 2017, ECIS.

[32]  Shirley Gregor,et al.  The Nature of Theory in Information Systems , 2006, MIS Q..

[33]  George Mangalaraj,et al.  Are We Wielding this Hammer Correctly? A Reflective Review of the Application of Cluster Analysis in Information Systems Research , 2011, J. Assoc. Inf. Syst..

[34]  Uday Rajan,et al.  Cryptocurrencies: Stylized Facts on a New Investible Instrument , 2018, Financial Management.

[35]  Florian Danmayr,et al.  Archetypes of Crowdfunding Platforms , 2014 .

[36]  David Kuo Chuen Lee,et al.  Fintech Tsunami: Blockchain as the Driver of the Fourth Industrial Revolution , 2017 .

[37]  S. Nakamoto,et al.  Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System , 2008 .

[38]  Jan Muntermann,et al.  A method for taxonomy development and its application in information systems , 2013, Eur. J. Inf. Syst..

[39]  Holmes Finch,et al.  Comparison of Distance Measures in Cluster Analysis with Dichotomous Data , 2021, Journal of Data Science.

[40]  Armin Schwienbacher,et al.  Liquidity Risk and Venture Capital Finance , 2005 .

[41]  Dmitri Boreiko,et al.  To ICO or not to ICO – Empirical Analysis of Initial Coin Offerings and Token Sales , 2018 .

[42]  Graham K. Rand,et al.  Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences , 1983 .

[43]  Brian Everitt,et al.  Cluster analysis , 1974 .

[44]  Ramana Nanda,et al.  Initial coin offerings , 2017, Blockchain and Cryptocurrency:International Legal and Regulatory Challenges.

[45]  Samir Chatterjee,et al.  Design of emerging digital services: a taxonomy , 2008, Eur. J. Inf. Syst..

[46]  Ball State,et al.  Comparison of Distance Measures in Cluster Analysis with Dichotomous Data , 2004 .

[47]  Girish N. Punj,et al.  Cluster Analysis in Marketing Research: Review and Suggestions for Application , 1983 .

[48]  Hugo Benedetti,et al.  Digital Tulips? Returns to Investors in Initial Coin Offerings , 2018, Journal of Corporate Finance.

[49]  Nils Urbach,et al.  Integrating the ‘Troublemakers’: A taxonomy for cooperation between banks and fintechs , 2018, Journal of Economics and Business.

[50]  Antonio Dávila,et al.  Venture capital financing and the growth of startup firms , 2003 .

[51]  Nils Urbach,et al.  Don't Slip on the Initial Coin Offering (ICO) : A Taxonomy for a Blockchain-enabled Form of Crowdfunding , 2018 .

[52]  Robert L. Glass,et al.  Contemporary Application-Domain Taxonomies , 1995, IEEE Softw..

[53]  Dimo Dimov,et al.  Internal Knowledge Development and External Knowledge Access in Venture Capital Investment Performance , 2008 .

[54]  Jan Marco Leimeister,et al.  Modularization of Crowdfunding Services - Designing Disruptive Innovations in the Banking Industry , 2015, ICIS.

[55]  D. Schweizer,et al.  Are Blockchain Crowdsales the New 'Gold Rush'? Success Determinants of Initial Coin Offerings , 2018 .

[56]  Nils Urbach,et al.  Blockchain and Initial Coin Offerings: Blockchain’s Implications for Crowdfunding , 2019, Business Transformation through Blockchain.

[57]  Omar El Sawy,et al.  Absorptive Capacity Configurations in Supply Chains: Gearing for Partner-Enabled Market Knowledge Creation , 2005, MIS Q..

[58]  W. Cooley,et al.  Multivariate Data Analysis. , 1973 .

[59]  Jose A. Lopez What is liquidity risk , 2008 .

[60]  J. Morse The Significance of Saturation , 1995 .

[61]  Donghwa Shin,et al.  The Wisdom of Crowds and Information Cascades in FinTech: Evidence from Initial Coin Offerings∗ , 2018 .

[62]  David P. Centers,et al.  Blockchain and Its Coming Impact on Financial Services , 2016 .

[63]  Ross P. Buckley,et al.  The ICO Gold Rush: It's a Scam, It's a Bubble, It's a Super Challenge for Regulators , 2018 .

[64]  Pavel Berkhin,et al.  A Survey of Clustering Data Mining Techniques , 2006, Grouping Multidimensional Data.

[65]  Sabrina T. Howell,et al.  Initial Coin Offerings: Financing Growth with Cryptocurrency Token Sales , 2020 .

[66]  Gilbert Fridgen,et al.  The token’s secret: the two-faced financial incentive of the token economy , 2020, Electronic Markets.

[67]  Christian Fisch Initial coin offerings (ICOs) to finance new ventures , 2019, Journal of Business Venturing.

[68]  Nick Szabo,et al.  Formalizing and Securing Relationships on Public Networks , 1997, First Monday.

[69]  Felix Wortmann,et al.  Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs): An Introduction to the Novel Funding Mechanism Based on Blockchain Technology , 2018, AMCIS.

[70]  Jason Bennett Thatcher,et al.  Blockchain Technology in Business and Information Systems Research , 2017, Business & Information Systems Engineering.

[71]  Vitalik Buterin A NEXT GENERATION SMART CONTRACT & DECENTRALIZED APPLICATION PLATFORM , 2015 .

[72]  C. C. Snow,et al.  Organizational Configurations and Performance: A Comparison of Theoretical Approaches , 1993 .

[73]  Kwanghui Lim,et al.  Absorptive Capacity , 2022 .

[74]  G. Giudici,et al.  Why Do Businesses Go Crypto? An Empirical Analysis of Initial Coin Offerings , 2018, Journal of Economics and Business.

[75]  Jong de Jpj,et al.  Open innovation in SMEs : trends, motives and management challenges , 2009 .

[76]  Michael Miksch,et al.  Dividing the ICO Jungle: Extracting and Evaluating Design Archetypes , 2019, Wirtschaftsinformatik.

[77]  Roman Beck,et al.  Blockchain - the Gateway to Trust-Free Cryptographic Transactions , 2016, ECIS.

[78]  Ethan Mollick The Dynamics of Crowdfunding: An Exploratory Study , 2014 .

[79]  Nils Urbach,et al.  Don't slip on the ICO - a Taxonomy for a Blockchain-Enabled Form of Crowdfunding , 2018, ECIS.