The Effect of Competition on Risk Taking in Contests

We investigate, theoretically and experimentally, the effect of competition on risk taking in a contest in which players only decide on the level of risk they wish to take. Taking more risk implies a chance of a higher performance, but also implies a higher chance of failure. We vary the level of competition in two ways: by varying the number of players (2 players versus 8 players), and by varying the sensitivity of the contest to differences in performance (lottery contest versus all-pay auction). Our results show that there is a significant interaction effect between the two treatments, suggesting that players are particularly prone to take more risks if both the number of players and the sensitivity to performance are higher.

[1]  Bapi Chatterjee,et al.  An optimization formulation to compute Nash equilibrium in finite games , 2009, 2009 Proceeding of International Conference on Methods and Models in Computer Science (ICM2CS).

[2]  Roman M. Sheremeta,et al.  A survey of experimental research on contests, all-pay auctions and tournaments , 2012, Experimental Economics.

[3]  Jörg Oechssler,et al.  Two are few and four are many: number effects in experimental oligopolies , 2004 .

[4]  Florian Ederer,et al.  Feedback and Motivation in Dynamic Tournaments , 2010 .

[5]  Paolo Crosetto,et al.  The “bomb” risk elicitation task , 2012, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty.

[6]  Michael R. Baye,et al.  The all-pay auction with complete information , 1990 .

[7]  Toby E. Stuart,et al.  Competitive Crowding and Risk Taking in a Tournament: Evidence from NASCAR Racing , 2007 .

[8]  U. Fischbacher z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments , 1999 .

[9]  J. Potters,et al.  An experiment on risk taking and evaluation periods , 1997 .

[10]  Scott M. Gilpatric Risk Taking in Contests and the Role of Carrots and Sticks , 2009 .

[11]  Roman M. Sheremeta,et al.  Entry into Winner-Take-All and Proportional-Prize Contests: An Experimental Study , 2010 .

[12]  J. List,et al.  On the Role of Group Size in Tournaments: Theory and Evidence from Lab and Field Experiments , 2014 .

[13]  Andrew Schotter,et al.  Multiperson Tournaments: An Experimental Examination , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[14]  Rafael Repullo,et al.  Does Competition Reduce the Risk of Bank Failure? , 2008 .

[15]  Casper G. de Vries,et al.  An experimental examination of rational rent-seeking , 1998 .

[16]  Kai A. Konrad,et al.  Strategy and Dynamics in Contests , 2009 .

[17]  Roman M. Sheremeta,et al.  Contest Design: An Experimental Investigation , 2009 .

[18]  Robert J. Reilly,et al.  Do too many cooks always spoil the stew? An experimental analysis of rent-seeking and the role of a strategic buyer , 1998 .

[19]  Hans K. Hvide Tournament Rewards and Risk Taking , 1999, Journal of Labor Economics.

[20]  A. Schotter,et al.  Workaholics and Dropouts in Organizations , 2010 .

[21]  J. Boyd,et al.  The Theory of Bank Risk Taking and Competition Revisited , 2005 .

[22]  Christine Harbring,et al.  An experimental study on tournament design , 2003 .

[23]  Tibor Neugebauer,et al.  Varying the number of bidders in the first-price sealed-bid auction: experimental evidence for the one-shot game , 2013, Theory and Decision.

[24]  Robert L. Winkler,et al.  Modifying Variability and Correlations in Winner-Take-All Contests , 2004, Oper. Res..

[25]  Rann Smorodinsky,et al.  All-Pay Auctions - An Experimental Study , 2006 .

[26]  Ola Kvaløy,et al.  No Guts, No Glory: An Experiment on Excessive Risk-Taking , 2016 .

[27]  R. Blundell,et al.  Market share, market value and innovation in a panel of British manufacturing firms , 1999 .

[28]  John Morgan,et al.  Endogenous entry in contests , 2012 .

[29]  Colin Camerer,et al.  A Cognitive Hierarchy Model of Games , 2004 .