Statistical energy conservation principle for inhomogeneous turbulent dynamical systems

Significance Understanding the complexity of anisotropic turbulent processes over a wide range of spatiotemporal scales in engineering shear turbulence as well as climate atmosphere ocean science is a grand challenge of contemporary science with important societal impact. In such inhomogeneous turbulent dynamical systems, there is a large dimensional phase space with a large dimension of unstable directions where a large-scale ensemble mean and the turbulent fluctuations exchange energy and strongly influence each other. These complex features strongly impact practical prediction and uncertainty quantification. A systematic energy conservation principle is developed here in a Theorem that precisely accounts for the statistical energy exchange between the mean flow and the related turbulent fluctuations. Understanding the complexity of anisotropic turbulent processes over a wide range of spatiotemporal scales in engineering shear turbulence as well as climate atmosphere ocean science is a grand challenge of contemporary science with important societal impact. In such inhomogeneous turbulent dynamical systems there is a large dimensional phase space with a large dimension of unstable directions where a large-scale ensemble mean and the turbulent fluctuations exchange energy and strongly influence each other. These complex features strongly impact practical prediction and uncertainty quantification. A systematic energy conservation principle is developed here in a Theorem that precisely accounts for the statistical energy exchange between the mean flow and the related turbulent fluctuations. This statistical energy is a sum of the energy in the mean and the trace of the covariance of the fluctuating turbulence. This result applies to general inhomogeneous turbulent dynamical systems including the above applications. The Theorem involves an assessment of statistical symmetries for the nonlinear interactions and a self-contained treatment is presented below. Corollary 1 and Corollary 2 illustrate the power of the method with general closed differential equalities for the statistical energy in time either exactly or with upper and lower bounds, provided that the negative symmetric dissipation matrix is diagonal in a suitable basis. Implications of the energy principle for low-order closure modeling and automatic estimates for the single point variance are discussed below.

[1]  Andrew J Majda,et al.  Conceptual dynamical models for turbulence , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[2]  Andrew J. Majda,et al.  A statistically accurate modified quasilinear Gaussian closure for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems , 2013 .

[3]  Andrew J. Majda,et al.  Lessons in uncertainty quantification for turbulent dynamical systems , 2012 .

[4]  Jonathan C. Mattingly,et al.  Ergodicity of the 2D Navier-Stokes equations with degenerate stochastic forcing , 2004, math/0406087.

[5]  Ecmwf Newsletter,et al.  EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS , 2004 .

[6]  S. Pope Turbulent Flows: FUNDAMENTALS , 2000 .

[7]  Andrew J. Majda,et al.  Invariant measures and asymptotic Gaussian bounds for normal forms of stochastic climate model , 2011 .

[8]  R. Salmon,et al.  Geophysical Fluid Dynamics , 2019, Classical Mechanics in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics.

[9]  Sophia Decker,et al.  Atmospheric And Oceanic Fluid Dynamics Fundamentals And Large Scale Circulation , 2016 .

[10]  A. Majda,et al.  Normal forms for reduced stochastic climate models , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[11]  Andrew J Majda,et al.  Improving model fidelity and sensitivity for complex systems through empirical information theory , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[12]  T. DelSole,et al.  Stochastic Models of Quasigeostrophic Turbulence , 2004 .

[13]  Andrew J. Majda,et al.  Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistical Theories for Basic Geophysical Flows , 2006 .

[14]  Themistoklis P. Sapsis,et al.  Attractor local dimensionality, nonlinear energy transfers and finite-time instabilities in unstable dynamical systems with applications to two-dimensional fluid flows , 2013, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

[15]  Andrew J Majda,et al.  Link between statistical equilibrium fidelity and forecasting skill for complex systems with model error , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[16]  Michael J. Rycroft,et al.  Storms in Space , 2004 .

[17]  A. Majda,et al.  The emergence of large‐scale coherent structure under small‐scale random bombardments , 2006 .

[18]  Stanislav Boldyrev,et al.  Two-dimensional turbulence , 1980 .

[19]  Geoffrey K. Vallis,et al.  Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics: Fundamentals and Large-Scale Circulation , 2017 .

[20]  Andrew J Majda,et al.  Statistically accurate low-order models for uncertainty quantification in turbulent dynamical systems , 2013, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[21]  Kaushik Srinivasan,et al.  Zonostrophic Instability , 2011 .

[22]  Andrew J. Majda,et al.  Improving Prediction Skill of Imperfect Turbulent Models Through Statistical Response and Information Theory , 2016, J. Nonlinear Sci..

[23]  E. Lorenz Predictability of Weather and Climate: Predictability – a problem partly solved , 2006 .

[24]  Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux,et al.  Global analysis of Navier–Stokes and Boussinesq stochastic flows using dynamical orthogonality , 2013, Journal of Fluid Mechanics.