An Experimental Study of Buyer-Seller Negotiation with One-Sided Incomplete Information and Time Discounting

We study a multiperiod bargaining mechanism in which a seller negotiates with a buyer over the price of an indivisible good. It is common knowledge that the good has zero value to the seller. Its value to the buyer is privately known, distributed independently of the seller's value according to a distribution that is common knowledge. Bargaining proceeds as follows. The seller sets a price and offers the buyer an opportunity to purchase the good. The buyer either waits for at least one more period or agrees to purchase the good at the given price. If the buyer refuses the offer, then the process is repeated with seller making a new offer on the next period. Our findings reveal several behavioral regularities, which do not support the sequential equilibrium for this bargaining mechanism. In line with recent developments in behavioral decision theory and game theory, which assume bounded rationality, we find that subjects follow simple rules of thumb in choosing strategies, reflected in the behavioral consistencies observed in the study.

[1]  O. H. Brownlee,et al.  ACTIVITY ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION AND ALLOCATION , 1952 .

[2]  P. Green,et al.  Behavioral Experiment in Two-Person Bargaining , 1967 .

[3]  J. Arndt Toward a Concept of Domesticated Markets , 1979 .

[4]  H. White A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity , 1980 .

[5]  V. Smith Microeconomic Systems as an Experimental Science , 1982 .

[6]  M. Bray Learning, estimation, and the stability of rational expectations , 1982 .

[7]  J. Sobel,et al.  A Multistage Model of Bargaining , 1983 .

[8]  David A. Hsieh,et al.  A heteroscedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator for time series regressions , 1983 .

[9]  Scott A. Neslin,et al.  Nash's Theory of Cooperative Games as a Predictor of the Outcomes of Buyer-Seller Negotiations: An Experiment in Media Purchasing , 1983 .

[10]  D. Fudenberg,et al.  Sequential Bargaining with Incomplete Information , 1983 .

[11]  P. Cramton,et al.  Two Papers on Sequential Bargaining. Paper 1: Sequential Bargaining Mechanisms. Paper 2: Bargaining with Incomplete Information an Infinite-Horizon Model with Continuous Uncertainty , 1984 .

[12]  D. Fudenberg,et al.  Infinite-Horizon Models of Bargaining with One-Sided Incomplete Information , 1985 .

[13]  Barton A. Weitz Introduction to Special Issue on Competition in Marketing , 1985 .

[14]  Robert B. Wilson Game-Theoretic Analysis of Trading Processes. , 1985 .

[15]  Robert B. Wilson,et al.  Foundations of Dynamic Monopoly and the Coase Conjecture , 1986 .

[16]  Louis W. Stern,et al.  Assessing the Predictive Accuracy of Two Utility-Based Theories in a Marketing Channel Negotiation Context , 1986 .

[17]  Scott A. Neslin,et al.  The Ability of Nash's Theory of Cooperative Games to Predict the Outcomes of Buyer-Seller Negotiations: A Dyad-Level Test , 1986 .

[18]  Peter S. Fader,et al.  Power and Goal Setting in Channel Negotiations , 1986 .

[19]  K. Evans,et al.  A Theoretical Model of Consumer Negotiated Pricing: An Orientation Perspective , 1987 .

[20]  Reinhard Selten,et al.  Bounded rational behavior in experimental games and markets : proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Experimental Economics, Bielefeld, West Germany, September 21-25, 1986 , 1988 .

[21]  R. Tietz Experimental Economics: Ways to Model Bounded Rational Bargaining Behavior , 1988 .

[22]  Zvi A. Livne,et al.  Resolving a Conflict Situation with a Reference Outcome: An Axiomatic Model , 1988 .

[23]  Lawrence M. Ausubel,et al.  REPUTATION IN BARGAINING AND DURABLE GOODS MONOPOLY , 1989 .

[24]  J. E. Swan,et al.  Equity and Disconfirmation Perceptions as Influences on Merchant and Product Satisfaction , 1989 .

[25]  Sunil Gupta Modeling integrative, multiple issue bargaining , 1989 .

[26]  A. Roth Risk aversion and the relationship between Nash's solution and subgame perfect equilibrium of sequential bargaining , 1989 .

[27]  Raymond Deneckere,et al.  A direct mechanism characterization of sequential bargaining with one-sided incomplete information , 1989 .

[28]  R. Radner,et al.  The Sealed-Bid Mechanism: An Experimental Study* , 1989 .

[29]  G. Harrison Theory and Misbehavior of First-Price Auctions , 1989 .

[30]  P. Dasgupta,et al.  The Economics of Bargaining , 1990 .

[31]  A. Rubinstein,et al.  Bargaining and Markets , 1991 .

[32]  R. Selten,et al.  Alternating bid bargaining with a smallest money unit , 2005 .

[33]  S. Zamir,et al.  Bargaining and Market Behavior in Jerusalem, Ljubljana, Pittsburgh, and Tokyo: An Experimental Study , 1991 .

[34]  Gregory E. Kersten,et al.  Introduction to the Focussed Issue on Group Decision and Negotiation , 1991 .

[35]  A. Rubinstein COMMENTS ON THE INTERPRETATION OF GAME THEORY , 1991 .

[36]  Gary E. Bolton A Comparative Model of Bargaining: Theory and Evidence , 1991 .

[37]  Amnon Rapoport,et al.  Two-person sequential bargaining behavior with exogenous breakdown , 1992 .

[38]  Lawrence M. Ausubel,et al.  Bargaining and the Right to Remain Silent , 1992 .

[39]  Kim P. Corfman,et al.  Mathematical models of group choice and negotiations , 1992 .

[40]  G. Loewenstein,et al.  Egocentric Interpretations of Fairness and Interpersonal Conflict , 1992 .

[41]  Donald R. Lehmann,et al.  The Importance of Others' Welfare in Evaluating Bargaining Outcomes , 1993 .

[42]  H. Bester Bargaining versus price competition in markets with quality uncertainty , 1993 .

[43]  V. Smith,et al.  Preferences, Property Rights, and Anonymity in Bargaining Games , 1994 .

[44]  Klaus Ritzberger,et al.  On durable goods monopolies an experimental study of intrapersonal price competition and price discrimination over time , 1995 .