Chance constrained reachability in environments with spatially varying energy costs

Abstract In off-road environments, energy costs are highly uncertain and variable due to unknown terrains. To plan missions for robots with limited energy storage capacity, a robot’s reachable set must be determined. This work presents a novel approach for learning reachable sets based on data collected during a mission. Leveraging the authors’ previous work, a spatial energy map of an unknown environment, built with data collected by a robot, can be used to compute a chance constrained reachable set (CCRS) based on a user-defined confidence level. Simulations demonstrate that as a robot collects more data on an energy map, the true positive rate of a computed CCRS improves significantly while the false positive rate remains low, implying that a robot’s reachability can be robustly determined for use in future missions.

[1]  Alessandro Abate,et al.  Adaptive and Sequential Gridding Procedures for the Abstraction and Verification of Stochastic Processes , 2013, SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst..

[2]  Deepak N. Subramani,et al.  Stochastic time-optimal path-planning in uncertain, strong, and dynamic flows , 2018 .

[3]  Michael T. Wolf,et al.  Decomposition algorithm for global reachability analysis on a time-varying graph with an application to planetary exploration , 2009, 2009 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems.

[4]  Edsger W. Dijkstra,et al.  A note on two problems in connexion with graphs , 1959, Numerische Mathematik.

[5]  Pratap Tokekar,et al.  Energy‐efficient Path Planning for Solar‐powered Mobile Robots * , 2013, J. Field Robotics.

[6]  Zoubin Ghahramani,et al.  Sparse Gaussian Processes using Pseudo-inputs , 2005, NIPS.

[7]  Karl Reichard,et al.  Energy-based path planning for skid-steer vehicles operating in areas with mixed surface types , 2016, 2016 American Control Conference (ACC).

[8]  Matthew P. Castanier,et al.  Ground Robot Terrain Mapping and Energy Prediction in Environments with 3-D Topography , 2018, 2018 Annual American Control Conference (ACC).

[9]  Christopher Assad,et al.  Feasibility Studies on Guidance and Global Path Planning for Wind-Assisted Montgolfière in Titan , 2014, IEEE Systems Journal.

[10]  Robert Fitch,et al.  Probabilistic Maximum Set Cover with Path Constraints for Informative Path Planning , 2016 .

[11]  Jongeun Choi,et al.  Mobile Sensor Network Navigation Using Gaussian Processes With Truncated Observations , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Robotics.

[12]  Matthew P. Castanier,et al.  An energy-efficient method for multi-robot reconnaissance in an unknown environment , 2017, 2017 American Control Conference (ACC).

[13]  Andreas Krause,et al.  Efficient Informative Sensing using Multiple Robots , 2014, J. Artif. Intell. Res..

[14]  Peter I. Corke,et al.  Creating and using probabilistic costmaps from vehicle experience , 2012, 2012 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems.

[15]  Gaurav S. Sukhatme,et al.  Branch and bound for informative path planning , 2012, 2012 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation.

[16]  Leslie Pack Kaelbling,et al.  Provably safe robot navigation with obstacle uncertainty , 2017, Robotics: Science and Systems.

[17]  Maria Teresa Lazaro,et al.  Cooperative minimum expected length planning for robot formations in stochastic maps , 2017, Robotics Auton. Syst..

[18]  Gokhan Kirlik,et al.  Multi-robot sensor-based coverage path planning using capacitated arc routing approach , 2009, 2009 IEEE Control Applications, (CCA) & Intelligent Control, (ISIC).

[19]  Geoffrey A. Hollinger,et al.  Sampling-based robotic information gathering algorithms , 2014, Int. J. Robotics Res..

[20]  Joel W. Burdick,et al.  Probabilistic Collision Checking With Chance Constraints , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Robotics.

[21]  Deepak N. Subramani,et al.  Energy-optimal path planning by stochastic dynamically orthogonal level-set optimization , 2016 .

[22]  Eric Horvitz,et al.  Gauss meets Canadian traveler: shortest-path problems with correlated natural dynamics , 2014, AAMAS.

[23]  Carl E. Rasmussen,et al.  Gaussian processes for machine learning , 2005, Adaptive computation and machine learning.

[24]  A. Galip Ulsoy,et al.  Mission Energy Prediction for Unmanned Ground Vehicles Using Real‐time Measurements and Prior Knowledge , 2013, J. Field Robotics.

[25]  Ravi Seshadri,et al.  Algorithm for Determining Most Reliable Travel Time Path on Network with Normally Distributed and Correlated Link Travel Times , 2010 .

[26]  David R. Karger,et al.  Optimal Route Planning under Uncertainty , 2006, ICAPS.

[27]  Gaurav S. Sukhatme,et al.  Optimizing waypoints for monitoring spatiotemporal phenomena , 2013, Int. J. Robotics Res..

[28]  Mac Schwager,et al.  Correlated Orienteering Problem and its Application to Persistent Monitoring Tasks , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Robotics.

[29]  David R. Karger,et al.  Route Planning under Uncertainty: The Canadian Traveller Problem , 2008, AAAI.

[30]  Roman Garnett,et al.  Sampling for Inference in Probabilistic Models with Fast Bayesian Quadrature , 2014, NIPS.

[31]  Takayuki Morikawa,et al.  Application of Lagrangian relaxation approach to α-reliable path finding in stochastic networks with correlated link travel times , 2015 .

[32]  Lino Marques,et al.  Power Characterization of a Skid-Steered Mobile Field Robot with an Application to Headland Turn Optimization , 2019, J. Intell. Robotic Syst..

[33]  Danwei Wang,et al.  Incremental algorithms for Safe and Reachable Frontier Detection for robot exploration , 2015, Robotics Auton. Syst..

[34]  Michael A. Osborne,et al.  Probabilistic Integration: A Role for Statisticians in Numerical Analysis? , 2015 .

[35]  Geoffrey A. Hollinger,et al.  Risk-aware graph search with dynamic edge cost discovery , 2018, Int. J. Robotics Res..

[36]  David Hsu,et al.  Intention-aware online POMDP planning for autonomous driving in a crowd , 2015, 2015 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA).

[37]  Jaime F. Fisac,et al.  Reachability-based safe learning with Gaussian processes , 2014, 53rd IEEE Conference on Decision and Control.

[38]  Alexandre M. Bayen,et al.  Computational techniques for the verification of hybrid systems , 2003, Proc. IEEE.

[39]  Hari Balakrishnan,et al.  Stochastic Motion Planning and Applications to Traffic , 2008, WAFR.

[40]  Nancy M. Amato,et al.  SLAP: Simultaneous Localization and Planning Under Uncertainty via Dynamic Replanning in Belief Space , 2018, IEEE Transactions on Robotics.

[41]  Neil D. Lawrence,et al.  Fast Sparse Gaussian Process Methods: The Informative Vector Machine , 2002, NIPS.

[42]  Peter I. Corke,et al.  Long-term exploration & tours for energy constrained robots with online proprioceptive traversability estimation , 2014, 2014 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA).

[43]  Lydia Tapia,et al.  Hybrid Dynamic Moving Obstacle Avoidance Using a Stochastic Reachable Set-Based Potential Field , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Robotics.

[44]  Qingquan Li,et al.  Finding Reliable Shortest Paths in Road Networks Under Uncertainty , 2013 .

[45]  Marco F. Huber Recursive Gaussian process: On-line regression and learning , 2014, Pattern Recognit. Lett..