A Theory of the Behavioral Power of Nations

Nations are said to be behaviorally powerful to the extent they can influence the behavior of other nations. An analytical model of this process is developed based upon the existence of a statistical equilibrium in international political exchange, and its advantages and disadvantages are discussed. This formulation is empirically examined using interaction data taken from the COPDAB data bank. After presenting the static results for 132 nation-states, the behavioral power of the 10 most powerful nation-states is empirically examined and discussed over time (1948-1978) in the separate dimensions of conflict and cooperation, as well as the combined dimension of total interaction. The ability to influence multilateral politics through conflict behavior is found to be quite distinct from the ability to use cooperation as a means of influence.

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