The Evolutionary Role of Toughness in Bargaining

The experimental evidence on the "endowment effect" (Kahneman et al. 1990) and the "self serving bias" in negotiations (Babcok and Loewenstein 1997) suggests that individuals enter a tough state of mind when they have to make a stand vis-a-vis somebody else. In this work we show how a toughness bias in bargaining may indeed be evolutionary viable. When the inherent toughness of the bargainer is observed by the opponent, this opponent will adjust his behavior accordingly, in a way which may enhance the actual payoff of the biased bargainer. Suppose, then, that a population consists initially of individuals with different inherent degrees of toughness or softness. They are often matched at random to bargain, and biases which are objectively more successful tend to appear more frequently in the society. We show how under various bargaining protocols with asymmetric information, the population will consist, asymptotically, of individuals with some moderate degree of toughness.

[1]  A. Rubinstein Perfect Equilibrium in a Bargaining Model , 1982 .

[2]  Chaim Fershtman,et al.  Why do we care what others think about us , 1997 .

[3]  J. Sobel,et al.  A Multistage Model of Bargaining , 1983 .

[4]  Efe A. Ok,et al.  The Strategic Advantage of Negatively Interdependent Preferences , 2000, J. Econ. Theory.

[5]  R. Thaler Toward a positive theory of consumer choice , 1980 .

[6]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Evolution of Perceptions and Play , 2001 .

[7]  Friedel Bolle,et al.  Is altruism evolutionarily stable? And envy and malevolence?: Remarks on Bester and Guth , 2000 .

[8]  Efe A. Ok,et al.  On the Evolution of Individualistic Preferences: An Incomplete Information Scenario , 2001, J. Econ. Theory.

[9]  Roy Radner,et al.  Equilibria of the Sealed- Bid Mechanism for Bargaining with Incomplete Information*, ' , 1987 .

[10]  R. Frank Passions Within Reason: The Strategic Role of the Emotions , 1990 .

[11]  Jeffrey C. Ely,et al.  Evolution of Preferences , 2007 .

[12]  R. Radner,et al.  The Sealed-Bid Mechanism: An Experimental Study* , 1989 .

[13]  Charles R. Plott,et al.  The Willingness to Pay/Willingness to Accept Gap, The "Endowment Effect" and Experimental Procedures for Eliciting Valuations , 2002 .

[14]  J. Oechssler,et al.  Evolutionary dynamics on infinite strategy spaces , 2001 .

[15]  A. Tversky,et al.  Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model , 1991 .

[16]  Aviad Heifetz,et al.  On the Evolutionary Emergence of Optimism , 2000 .

[17]  B. Tranel The sounds of French: L and R , 1987 .

[18]  Kalyan Chatterjee,et al.  Bargaining under Incomplete Information , 1983, Oper. Res..

[19]  Max H. Bazerman,et al.  'A MATTER OF TRUST' : EFFECTS OF COMMUNICATION ON THE EFFICIENCY AND DISTRIBUTION OF OUTCOMES , 1998 .

[20]  George Loewenstein,et al.  Biased Judgments of Fairness in Bargaining , 1995 .

[21]  Yaacov Z. Bergman,et al.  Ecologies of Preferences with Envy as an Antidote to Risk-Aversion in Bargaining , 2000 .

[22]  H. Moulin Dominance solvability and cournot stability , 1984 .

[23]  Julio J. Rotemberg,et al.  Human Relations in the Workplace , 1994, Journal of Political Economy.

[24]  Steffen Huck,et al.  The Indirect Evolutionary Approach to Explaining Fair Allocations , 1999 .

[25]  Alex Possajennikov,et al.  On the evolutionary stability of altruistic and spiteful preferences , 2000 .

[26]  Efe A. Ok,et al.  Evolution of Interdependent Preferences in Aggregative Games , 2000, Games Econ. Behav..

[27]  J. A. Sinden,et al.  Agents' evaluations and the disparity in measures of economic loss , 1986 .

[28]  K. McConnell,et al.  A Review of Wta/Wtp Studies , 2000 .

[29]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Experimental Tests of the Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem , 1990, Journal of Political Economy.

[30]  P. Cramton Strategic Delay in Bargaining with Two-Sided Uncertainty , 1992 .

[31]  Rajiv Sethi,et al.  Preference Evolution and Reciprocity , 2001, J. Econ. Theory.

[32]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk Author ( s ) : , 2007 .

[33]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[34]  Jeffrey C. Ely,et al.  Nash Equilibrium and the Evolution of Preferences , 2001, J. Econ. Theory.

[35]  Lawrence M. Ausubel,et al.  Bargaining in Incomplete Information , 2002 .

[36]  Werner Güth,et al.  Is altruism evolutionarily stable , 1998 .

[37]  Georg Kirchsteiger,et al.  Learning to Like What You Have - Explaining the Endowment Effect , 1997 .

[38]  J. Guttman On the evolutionary stability of preferences for reciprocity , 2000 .

[39]  Avner Ben-Ner,et al.  Economics, Values, and Organization , 1998 .

[40]  Anat R. Admati,et al.  Strategic Delay in Bargaining , 1987 .

[41]  Albert S. Kyle,et al.  Speculation Duopoly with Agreement to Disagree: Can Overconfidence Survive the Market Test? , 1997 .

[42]  Jennifer H. Arlen,et al.  Endowment Effects within Corporate Agency Relationships , 2001, The Journal of Legal Studies.

[43]  Chaim Fershtman,et al.  Social Rewards Externalities and Stable Preferences , 1998 .

[44]  Alexandros Benos,et al.  Aggressiveness and survival of overconfident traders , 1998 .

[45]  G. Loewenstein,et al.  A Bias in the Prediction of Tastes , 1995 .

[46]  M. Satterthwaite,et al.  Efficient Mechanisms for Bilateral Trading , 1983 .

[47]  G. Loewenstein,et al.  Behavioral Law and Economics: Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-serving Biases , 1997 .

[48]  L. Samuelson,et al.  Evolutionary Stability in Asymmetric Games , 1992 .